New Delhi: Corona virus cases are increasing rapidly in India. Meanwhile, the “Operations Research Group” constituted by the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) has claimed that the corona virus will be at its peak in India in mid-November. During which “ICU beds” and “ventilators” may be lacking. Research has revealed that the lockdown extended the peak of the epidemic from 34 to 76 days. Which has given time to prepare in the medical sector in India.
- Research says the lockdown reduced cases of infections from 69 to 97 percent, which helped the health system to raise resources and strengthen infrastructure. The epidemic may reach its peak by the first week of November in the event of increased public health measures after the lockdown and its 60 percent effectiveness. This will be followed by isolation beds for 5.4 months, ICU beds for 4.6 months, and ventilators for 3.9 months. it is estimated.
- Researchers who conducted the research said that the effects of the epidemic could be mitigated due to continuous steps taken by the government to increase infrastructure and varying rates of infection in different regions. If the coverage of public health measures is increased to 80 per cent, the impact of the epidemic can be reduced.
- According to a model-based analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic in India, during the period of lockdown, the number of cases at the peak will be reduced by up to 70 per cent, with additional capacity to be tested, treated and isolated to isolate patients and increase ( Remain) cases will decrease by about 27 percent.
- Research has also shown that about 60 per cent of the deaths due to Kovid-19 deaths have been postponed and one third of the deaths are attributed to the increase in health care measures. Researchers said that management of covid-19 would help in appropriate review of policies and strengthen the health system.
- Research says, “The lockdown will delay the peak of the epidemic and will provide the health system with the time needed to investigate, isolate cases, treat and locate people exposed to infected individuals.” These steps will play an important role in reducing the impact of the pandemic in India until the covid-19 vaccine is developed.
